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Do you believe this?
Doc
Member Posts: 13,898 ✭✭✭
A LOOK INTO THE FUTURE...
>>>>>> Into the future...
>>>>>> By:
>>>>>> Udo Gollub at Messe
>>>>>> Berlin, Germany
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I just went to the Singularity University summit and here are the key learnings.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide.
>>>>>> Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they got
>>>>>> bankrupt.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10
>>>>>> year - and most people don't see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3
>>>>>> years later you would never take pictures on paper film again?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000
>>>>>> pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies,
>>>>>> it was a disappointment for a long time, before it became way superior and
>>>>>> got mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen with Artificial
>>>>>> Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education and 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution!
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Welcome to the Exponential Age. Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the
>>>>>> biggest taxi company in the world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company
>>>>>> in the world, although they don't own any properties.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in
>>>>>> understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in
>>>>>> the world, 10 years earlier than expected. In the US, young lawyers already
>>>>>> don't get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for
>>>>>> more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with
>>>>>> 70% accuracy when done by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately.
>>>>>> There will be 90% less laywyers in the future, only specialists will remain.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 time more accurate than
>>>>>> human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can
>>>>>> recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Q Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the
>>>>>> public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You
>>>>>> don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it
>>>>>> will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will
>>>>>> not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be
>>>>>> productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's licence and
>>>>>> will never own a car. It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95%
>>>>>> less cars for that. We can transform former parking space into parks. 1,2
>>>>>> million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 100,000 km, with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 10 million km. That will save a million lives each year.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Most car companies might become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies
>>>>>> (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a
>>>>>> computer on wheels. I spoke to a lot of engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; they are completely terrified of Tesla.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood. Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance
>>>>>> will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Electric cars will become mainstream until 2020. Cities will be less noisy
>>>>>> because all cars will run on electric. Electricity will become incredibly
>>>>>> cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30
>>>>>> years, but you can only now see the impact. Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. The price for solar will drop so much that all coal companies will be out of business by 2025.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination now only
>>>>>> needs 2kWh per cubic meter. We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can
>>>>>> have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There will be
>>>>>> companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star
>>>>>> Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood
>>>>>> sample and your erbreath into it. It then analyses 54 biomarkers that will
>>>>>> identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medicine, nearly for free.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> 3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All
>>>>>> major shoe companies started 3D printing shoes. Spare airplane parts are
>>>>>> already 3D printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> At the end of this year, new smartphones will have 3D scanning
>>>>>> possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at
>>>>>> home. In China, they already 3D printed a complete 6-storey office building.
>>>>>> By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask
>>>>>> yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the answer
>>>>>> is yes, how can you make that happen sooner? If it doesn't work with your
>>>>>> phone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success in the 20th
>>>>>> century is doomed in to failure in the 21st century.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a
>>>>>> lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in
>>>>>> such a small time.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farmers
>>>>>> in 3rd world countried can then become managers of their field instead of
>>>>>> working all days on their fields. Aeroponics will need much less water. The
>>>>>> first petri dish produced veal is now available and will be cheaper than cow
>>>>>> produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces are used for cows. Imagine if we don't need that space anymore. There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains
>>>>>> more protein than meat. It will be labeled as "alternative protein source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).
>>>>>>
>>>>>> There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you are. By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your * expressions
>>>>>> if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's being displayed when
>>>>>> they are telling the truth and when not.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Bitcoin will become mainstream this year and might even become the default reserve currency.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per year.
>>>>>> Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80 years. The
>>>>>> increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more than one year
>>>>>> increase per year. So we all might live for a long long time, probably way
>>>>>> more than 100.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Education: The cheapest smartphones are already at $10 in Africa and Asia.
>>>>>> Until 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smartphone. That means, everyone has the same access to world class education. Every child can use Khan academy for everything a child learns at school in First World countries. We have already released our software in Indonesia and will release it in
>>>>>> Arabic, Suaheli and Chinese this Summer. I see an enormous
>>>>>> potential. We will give the English app for free, so that children in Africa
>>>>>> can become fluent in English within half a year...
>>>>>
>>
>
>
>>>>>> Into the future...
>>>>>> By:
>>>>>> Udo Gollub at Messe
>>>>>> Berlin, Germany
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I just went to the Singularity University summit and here are the key learnings.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide.
>>>>>> Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they got
>>>>>> bankrupt.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of industries in the next 10
>>>>>> year - and most people don't see it coming. Did you think in 1998 that 3
>>>>>> years later you would never take pictures on paper film again?
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000
>>>>>> pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential technologies,
>>>>>> it was a disappointment for a long time, before it became way superior and
>>>>>> got mainstream in only a few short years. It will now happen with Artificial
>>>>>> Intelligence, health, autonomous and electric cars, education and 3D printing, agriculture and jobs. Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution!
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Welcome to the Exponential Age. Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the
>>>>>> biggest taxi company in the world. Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company
>>>>>> in the world, although they don't own any properties.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in
>>>>>> understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in
>>>>>> the world, 10 years earlier than expected. In the US, young lawyers already
>>>>>> don't get jobs. Because of IBM Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for
>>>>>> more or less basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with
>>>>>> 70% accuracy when done by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately.
>>>>>> There will be 90% less laywyers in the future, only specialists will remain.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 time more accurate than
>>>>>> human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can
>>>>>> recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Q Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self driving cars will appear for the
>>>>>> public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be disrupted. You
>>>>>> don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car with your phone, it
>>>>>> will show up at your location and drive you to your destination. You will
>>>>>> not need to park it, you only pay for the driven distance and can be
>>>>>> productive while driving. Our kids will never get a driver's licence and
>>>>>> will never own a car. It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95%
>>>>>> less cars for that. We can transform former parking space into parks. 1,2
>>>>>> million people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one accident every 100,000 km, with autonomous driving that will drop to one accident in 10 million km. That will save a million lives each year.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Most car companies might become bankrupt. Traditional car companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies
>>>>>> (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a
>>>>>> computer on wheels. I spoke to a lot of engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; they are completely terrified of Tesla.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute, people will move further away to live in a more beautiful neighborhood. Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without accidents, the insurance
>>>>>> will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance business model will disappear.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Electric cars will become mainstream until 2020. Cities will be less noisy
>>>>>> because all cars will run on electric. Electricity will become incredibly
>>>>>> cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30
>>>>>> years, but you can only now see the impact. Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil. The price for solar will drop so much that all coal companies will be out of business by 2025.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination now only
>>>>>> needs 2kWh per cubic meter. We don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can
>>>>>> have as much clean water as he wants, for nearly no cost.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There will be
>>>>>> companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from Star
>>>>>> Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan, your blood
>>>>>> sample and your erbreath into it. It then analyses 54 biomarkers that will
>>>>>> identify nearly any disease. It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have access to world class medicine, nearly for free.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> 3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from $18,000 to $400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times faster. All
>>>>>> major shoe companies started 3D printing shoes. Spare airplane parts are
>>>>>> already 3D printed in remote airports. The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> At the end of this year, new smartphones will have 3D scanning
>>>>>> possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect shoe at
>>>>>> home. In China, they already 3D printed a complete 6-storey office building.
>>>>>> By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D printed.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask
>>>>>> yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the answer
>>>>>> is yes, how can you make that happen sooner? If it doesn't work with your
>>>>>> phone, forget the idea. And any idea designed for success in the 20th
>>>>>> century is doomed in to failure in the 21st century.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the next 20 years. There will be a
>>>>>> lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if there will be enough new jobs in
>>>>>> such a small time.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future. Farmers
>>>>>> in 3rd world countried can then become managers of their field instead of
>>>>>> working all days on their fields. Aeroponics will need much less water. The
>>>>>> first petri dish produced veal is now available and will be cheaper than cow
>>>>>> produced veal in 2018. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces are used for cows. Imagine if we don't need that space anymore. There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market shortly. It contains
>>>>>> more protein than meat. It will be labeled as "alternative protein source" (because most people still reject the idea of eating insects).
>>>>>>
>>>>>> There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood you are. By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your * expressions
>>>>>> if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's being displayed when
>>>>>> they are telling the truth and when not.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Bitcoin will become mainstream this year and might even become the default reserve currency.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per year.
>>>>>> Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80 years. The
>>>>>> increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be more than one year
>>>>>> increase per year. So we all might live for a long long time, probably way
>>>>>> more than 100.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Education: The cheapest smartphones are already at $10 in Africa and Asia.
>>>>>> Until 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smartphone. That means, everyone has the same access to world class education. Every child can use Khan academy for everything a child learns at school in First World countries. We have already released our software in Indonesia and will release it in
>>>>>> Arabic, Suaheli and Chinese this Summer. I see an enormous
>>>>>> potential. We will give the English app for free, so that children in Africa
>>>>>> can become fluent in English within half a year...
>>>>>
>>
>
>
....................................................................................................
Too old to live...too young to die...
Too old to live...too young to die...
Comments
Too old to live...too young to die...
If this is true why has not the Gov of AZ activated the NG and reclaim the sovereignty of their state.
I know there are a bunch of members from AZ what is going on over there and is this true?
http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2015/08/19/exclusive-az-sheriff-takes-dr-ben-carson-on-helicopter-tour-of-cartel-sites/
http://humanevents.com/2010/06/18/mexican-drug-cartels-control-parts-of-arizona/
http://www.breitbart.com/video/2015/08/20/az-sheriff-paul-babeu-drug-cartels-with-ak-47s-control-american-soil-30-miles-from-phoenix/
I will say this about Trump he is shedding light on this problem.
Too old to live...too young to die...
Too old to live...too young to die...
Sorry Doc , just not meant to be [B)]
Hope his buyer,in the end, runs him thru the mill than backs out.
Allowing you to get the SAA on your original terms..
You found out what kind of man he is without even parting with a single dollar. I usually have to spend/loan at least a few bucks to get those types of questions answered.
Apparently the seller was unaware that this was the case.
You were not unaware that this was the case.
When he found out, he felt like he was getting screwed and backed out.
Not the most ethical thing to do in the world, but understandable.
Sometimes folks don't know what they have, and it is our job, as good stewards of the moral high ground, to advise them.
Brad Steele
Maybe I'm wrong, but once you agree to sell something at a price YOU set, then I think you should complete the transaction.
I will keep looking.
Too old to live...too young to die...
No way that gun was undervalued by $500. I thought the price he set was reasonable, not a steal. Remember, he said he couldn't live with it.
Maybe I'm wrong, but once you agree to sell something at a price YOU set, then I think you should complete the transaction.
I will keep looking.
Yes that is called a lack of integrity. He is a person of low moral character, and it just wasn't meant to be.
No way that gun was undervalued by $500. I thought the price he set was reasonable, not a steal. Remember, he said he couldn't live with it.
Maybe I'm wrong, but once you agree to sell something at a price YOU set, then I think you should complete the transaction.
I will keep looking.
I agree that he should have followed through with it, Doc. There is no question. Without seeing the flaw, and a picture of the pistol, I could only go by your description and how you seem to think that it was a great deal. Sorry if I misinterpreted, but haven't these been going for $ 1,600.00 on the auction side?
Brad Steele
Therefore you didn't steal it from some little old lady and you have no moral high ground to advise him on.
3rd Gen with a flaw, that seems a fair price to me, especially with no risk or cost on the auction.
I wish the man no ill but it would be a darn shame if he got burned by a bad bidder.
Moving on. Wasn't meant to be. I missed a 4.75" blue one with factory ivories at $1,600 by about 5 minutes. That one hurt. This one is mildly irritating.
Gun show this weekend. At last show dealer had a 5.5" (at this point I would take it) in nickel NIB tagged at $1,400. If he still has it I am bringing it home with me.
Meanwhile I bid on one on the auction side but I know I will get outbid.
Too old to live...too young to die...
Obviously not a trait of the person you are dealing with.
Integrity: The quality of being honest and having strong moral principles.
Obviously not a trait of the person you are dealing with.
My 10 year old used the word "principled" twice today.
Sounds like the potential seller doesn't know as much as a 10 year old.
[xx(]
(Maybe that's why I never got married until I was 45![:0])