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Global Warming

IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
edited August 2002 in General Discussion
Though I heard on the news that the Global warming conference was canceled because of the snow there in DC. Find that to be a little funny.

Comments

  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    nice, 35 degrees with flurries this morning in nd

    god dang global warming[B)]

    are any major companies poised to sue the federal government when all this turns out to be bogus?

    i was talking to a guy that works at a natural gas refinery and he told me the government is putting a huge tax on them starting next year because of the amount of carbon they release into the air, said the price on flammable gases will almost double. so they are using bogus science to create a scare and tax the crap out of critical industries, in the mean time people are forced to pay the higher prices on such frivolous things such as HEAT and TRANSPORTATION, creating further financial woes on an already stressed economy.

    i hope when this is all said and done with those responsible for creating these feel good taxes fry for what they are about to do to the people of this country
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    Got up this morning to 6 inches of snow. Wish Al was here.
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    A bitter Monday morning chill across Southcentral Alaska should persist for at least another day, forecasters say, and changing conditions could bring higher temperatures later in the week.

    As of 7:30 a.m. Monday, the National Weather Service's Anchorage office listed a temperature of 3 degrees at Ted Stevens Anchorage International Airport. Much of the Mat-Su was below zero, with Palmer at 4 degrees below, Wasilla at 11 below and Talkeetna at 13 below.

    The Kenai Peninsula and points south hosted Southcentral's warmest spots, including a relatively balmy 13 degrees in Seward, with 18 recorded in Homer and 21 in Kodiak.

    Rebecca Duell, a forecaster at the Weather Service's office in Anchorage, said an average low for Sunday night in Anchorage was 16 degrees, but temperatures at the airport fell to 2 below zero -- just 3 degrees above the record low recorded for the date but still warmer than other parts of town.

    "South Anchorage had a bit of wind, and they didn't get as cold as East Anchorage," Duell said.

    Across the region, Duell said, Southcentral's cold was the result of three factors: cold air, calm winds and clear skies.

    "Basically, what we have is this really cold Arctic air mass over us and that's really what's driving it," Duell said. "We've had all three of those factors line up over a lot of those areas."

    Most areas, including the Mat-Su region, reported minimal winds and only patchy clouds over the weekend -- both factors that helped send the mercury down.

    "One of the reasons we've been so cold recently is that we've been fairly calm, and you notice a temperature swing in the areas that haven't seen much wind -- they get much, much colder," Duell said. "Most of the areas are clear, and areas like the Susitna Valley that were clear overnight get really, really cold."

    According to the NWS forecast for the week, skies should be clear through Tuesday, with daytime high temperatures hovering between 5 and 15 degrees before rising amid Wednesday clouds, with a chance of snow, to the 20-degree belt by Thursday and Friday.

    Nighttime lows over the same period will include dips below zero -- including 10 to 15 below in East Anchorage on Tuesday.

    Duell said the uptick in the forecast's temperatures reflects a change in air masses expected later this week, as well as increases in local cloud cover.

    "Definitely more typical temperatures for this time of year, so it won't be quite up to average by the end," Duell said. "(By the) middle to the end of the week, we'll start getting back to that normal temperature range there."

    In the Interior, Fairbanks experienced an overnight low Sunday of 22 degrees below zero. According to the Fairbanks NWS office's forecast, residents of the Golden Heart City can expect daytime highs up to zero degrees this week, with evening lows as deep as 25 degrees below on Tuesday and Friday.

    http://www.adn.com/article/20151116/southcentral-alaska-chill-persist-least-another-day-forecasters-say
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    Holy crap
    -10 below 0 this morning in Minnesota --
    This global warming is starting to get to me ----
    Lee
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    I know this is a bad time to bring this up for some.

    But Oregon had its driest year ever last year. So far the Ski areas have not opened up cause there is no Snow. We had some a few weeks ago but it has warmed up enough that almost all of it is now gone.

    Wonder if it is cause I put the Harley into winter Storage for Insurance.
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    I was talking to a guy in the grocery store this morning and he said he was grateful for global warming. He said, "Can you imagine how bad the winter would have been if it wasn't for global warming!"
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    I wish it was real. Yesterday, I was about ready to turn on the air conditioner. Today, I'm freakin cold!

    Same spot of the house!
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    Yes, the UN organized and commissioned this study, but the UN didn't write it.

    The study's findings are the consensus findings of over 6000 climate scientists from around the world.

    Then the politicians got hold of it and tried to tweak it this way or that way but I think the best way to think about it is as a professional opinion on which 6000 climate scientists were able to agree.

    Large numbers of scientists have been wrong before, but not so often. Therefore I take them seriously when they present their two major findings: 1) climate warming over the past 50 years is real, and 2) there is at least 95% chance that it is human-caused.
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    I don't need to read scientific literature. I don't need to listen to some political BS. I can see it with my eyes and sense it in my sweat glands. When NH has winters as mild as they were in MD thirty years ago and summers like the Alabama coast of the same period when warm climate pests migrate northerly into new ranges all over the world, we are in deep doo-doo. I hate to sound like Judge Dread, but I harbor a deep fear we may have finally trashed this planet.

    With a few exceptions, I have lived in the same small area all my life. Virtually every day since 6/1 we've had the sort of heat and humidity I last experienced on the Gulf Coast, with visibility limited to a few miles. No rain, not even thunderstorms. Crops dying, lawns brown (sort of a good thing there - don't have to mow!). It is scary. Look at the weather patterns in Europe - 100 year floods. I don't know if it is pollution, too many people, nuclear tests or what, but I have no doubt the human race has managed to screw up the climate big time.
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    I can't wait until this global warming is finished, I'm getting tired of all these heavy hot weather snow falls and the scorching heat of 7 degrees
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    I know,there has been many topics about global warming.But,scientist are now saying the Blizzards in the N.E. are caused by the warming....???
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    First off, I don't believe in it- not the man made kind anyhow. Gradual long term natural climate cycles are another thing.

    Second though, to be fair- I don't cite the United States' brutal winter as evidence either way. Europe has had a VERY mild winter- I was just in Austria and the daffodils are already blooming.

    Personally I attribute it all to the sun... global warming, global cooling... solution is to destroy or otherwise block the sun. No more sunburn, no more warming, no more nasty UV rays... what say you? [;)]
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    it is snowing in Houston Texas[:0][;)][:D]
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    Another scientist presented by the recent 'Great Global Warming Swindle' as a sceptic and supporter of their position has come out with a public complaint about the makers' fabrication of key data:

    http://folk.uio.no/nathan/web/statement.html

    Ho-hum...
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    Have you filled your C02 bottle today?[:D]
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    This may, in fact, be the most confusing article on Global Warming that I have ever read.

    https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/cleaning-up-air-pollution-may-strengthen-global-warming/

    "efforts worldwide to clean up the air may cause an increase in warming" So, we're actually warming the planet with our efforts.

    "Pollution in the atmosphere is... helping to cool the climate, masking some of the global warming that's occurred so far" [?][?] So, wait, are our efforts warming the planet or cooling it? I can't tell.

    "eliminating the human emission of aerosols...would virtually ensure that the planet will warm beyond the most stringent climate targets outlined in the Paris climate agreement." [?][?][?] So, clean up is like really really bad?

    "the Arctic region, northern Europe, Norway, the northern U.S.... is also quite sensitive to the changes in aerosols in Asia."[?][?] So, it's a regional problem?


    "the Arctic?the most rapidly warming region on the planet" [?][?][?] Ok, it's regional NOT global.


    "...about a third of all the warming that occurred over land areas over the past 50 years was masked?temporarily covered up, in other words?by aerosol pollution." Still no idea as to whether there has been warming or cooling. Does this mean the global temperature is staying the same? WTH does "masked warming" mean? The "other words" do not clarify.

    Here are some "in other words": no one in the scientific community has the foggiest clue as to what is going on, what causes what or how anything affects anything else. But one thing seems certain: it's a REGIONAL issue, not a global one.
  • 13FOX13FOX Member Posts: 61 ✭✭
    edited November -1
    I read in popular science last year that just off the continental shelf of the US in the Atlantic Ocean there is a mineral deposit of some sort, "cant remember the name" that if the water reaches a certain temperature will become tranform into a gas form and cause the planets atmosphere to become similar to venus.
  • He DogHe Dog Member Posts: 51,593 ✭✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    There is no doubt that things are different than when we were kids, but the question remains whether this is a proximal change (short term or part of a long term cycle) or whether this is a significant shift that is not part of a cycle. The scientists for the most part believe it is the latter. Most of it is likely due to the partial destruction of the ozone layer that acts (acted?) as a UV/IR filter.

    A balanced diet is a cookie in each hand
  • turboturbo Member Posts: 820 ✭✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    Not to change the subject, but only when one truly understands and believes the certainty of the word of truth can one appreaciate the natural creation.

    Just this morning I was reading in Romans chap. 8 and there,
    it is written for our admonition, in these times of uncertainty, the following;

    Rom 8
    19 For the earnest expectation of the creature (created) waiteth for the manifestation of the sons of God.
    20 For the creature was made subject to vanity, not willingly, but by reason of him who hath subjected the same in hope,
    21 Because the creature itself also shall be delivered from the bondage of corruption into the glorious liberty of the children of God.
    22 For we know that the whole creation groaneth and travaileth in pain together until now.
    23 And not only they, but ourselves also, which have the firstfruits of the Spirit, even we ourselves groan within ourselves, waiting for the adoption, to wit, the redemption of our body.
    24 For we are saved by hope: but hope that is seen is not hope: for what a man seeth, why doth he yet hope for?
    25 But if we hope for that we see not, then do we with patience wait for it.


    It's no secret that we are dying even know as we speak concerning the creation.

    But our hope is not what we can do but, what, God has done and can do for US.

    When we fret over the times and the seasons, the climate and temperatures on the earth, we do so, because these are areas of our life we can not control, and so we see the futility of life and the living of it when, these ominous signs begin to give signs of failing.

    Yet, there is a creator who created all of it, who overshadows these things that awe us.

    And as I (we) focus our eyes upon him, He who has subjected the creation in hope also, can calm the spirit.

    What we see today is the result of man abusing the creation, and yes it's going to fail;

    But our hope is not in what we see, but in what is unseen whith the human eye.

    Yet what we do see, is the revelation of the prophecy of the good book, coming to pass, before our eyes.

    And still, men remain in unbelief.

    Just sharing my thoughts with you.

    "The great object is that every man.... everyone who is able may have a gun." Patrick Henry
  • Shootist3006Shootist3006 Member Posts: 4,171
    edited November -1
    quote: I don't need to read scientific literature. I don't need to listen to some political BS. I can see it with my eyes and sense it in my sweat glands. When NH has winters as mild as they were in MD thirty years ago and summers like the Alabama coast of the same period when warm climate pests migrate northerly into new ranges all over the world, we are in deep doo-doo
    What you are seeing is localized. I see a cooler than normal summer (averaging about 4 degrees below normal). Today, at about 11:00 AM, in the middle of August - it is 67 degrees !!!!! My worry is global cooling

    Quod principi placuit legis habet vigorem.Semper Fidelis
  • beachmaster73beachmaster73 Member Posts: 3,011 ✭✭
    edited November -1
    Shootist...very funny!!! But I think Iconoclast is onto something. I'd hate to be labeled a "treehugger" because I do tend to loath some of their more outlandish antics....but there are some truly bizarre weather changes that have been happening around the world that cannot be ignored. Perhaps it is only part of a "100 year" cycle but much of what we are seeing weather wise in the mid-west and east is very similar to weather in the late 1920's just prior to the dust bowl. Now the fact that it is here only 70 years later rather than 100 years may very well be as a result of the ozone depletion as well as the deforestation in Brazil. But I'm with you Iconoclast...I think we may truly and righteously screwing the planet this time. Jeeze I hope I'm wrong! Beach
  • pikeal1pikeal1 Member Posts: 2,707
    edited November -1
    hell...its been cooler down here in florida. some nights it dips down to 87. I haven't noticed any difference. seems like this summer isnt half as bad as the summers from 5-10 years ago.
  • Gordian BladeGordian Blade Member Posts: 1,202 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    Assuming that the earth will always have the same average temperature, that climate will not slowly change over time, is an error. The world average temperature has been going up and down for billions of years, in patterns that are not well understood.

    The best information is that we are presently in a warm spot between two periods of glaciers. The most recent dip in temperature, the "Little Ice Age," lasted about 1500 to 1850.

    http://www.emporia.edu/earthsci/student/shobe1/littleic.htm
    http://www.vehiclechoice.org/climate/cutler.html
  • Norman DogNorman Dog Member Posts: 470 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    The idea that the inhabitants of this planet have the ability to change the climate inside of 100 years is ill-conceived. One human lifetime is not long enough to establish a trend in a process that has been operating for more than a billion years. How do you know that what you are experiencing is not a part of a natural trend that takes place over a thousand years, or ten thousand years?

    As far as global warming and the "destruction" of the ozone layer goes, remember that one small volcanic eruption spews more greenhouse gases into the atmosphere than all of mankind has over the entire course of history. The earth is huge. Earth processes take place on a grand (global?) scale and usually involve fantastic amounts of energy. We as a species may be able to kill ourselves off, but we don't pose a threat to the earth as a whole.

    Veritas morsum, autem veritas est verus

    WOOF.
  • Shootist3006Shootist3006 Member Posts: 4,171
    edited November -1
    Not to disparage anyone's opinion (as I know many respected scientists buy into the theory) and most surely not to start any 'bladder battles', I see GLOBAL WARMING as part of the CHICKEN LITTLE SYNDROME- the sky is falling!!!

    BTW, one possible side effect of the 'greenhouse' theory is a new ICE AGE!!!

    Quod principi placuit legis habet vigorem.Semper Fidelis
  • .280 freak.280 freak Member Posts: 1,942 ✭✭✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    Complicated topic, made even more so by the fact that we truly understand so little about how things work on a global level, and tend to measure things based on our own lifetimes. Trouble is, our lifetimes are so insignificant compared to how long the Earth has been around, both with and without life.

    As was mentioned already, the Earth has seen numerous periods of warming up and cooling down well before there were such things as humans walking it's surface. Pretty dang difficult to prove any direct cause and effect between human activity and global climatic changes, doubt that we ever will have that capability.

    When I was in college in the early seventies (Earth Science major), the prevailing theory was that we were in for a major ice-age, and there was nothing we could do about it. Wasn't long, and they did a 180, deciding that we were in for a warm up, instead. Which, if either, is correct? Hell if I know.

    Does anybody remember a book by Paul Erlich titled "The Population Bomb"? It was required reading for one of my courses. The author warned of a coming catastrophe on a global scale. He claimed to have done an in depth study of human poulation growth and concluded that if the Earth's total population were to ever reach some particular level (can't remember just what that figure was, but we passed it quite some years back, probably about half what we are at right now), that there would be mass starvation and a collapse of civilization as we know it. This would be due to our inability to feed all those people. I guess he was wrong, huh?

    The point here, is, he was a respected member of the scientific community, and he was just SO sure of his conclusions, and look at how wrong he was. Who's to say that all the current theories aren't just as wrong?
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    I truly hope all you nay-sayers are 110% right while Beach and I are soaking wet (in my case self-generated in this weather!). And I do understand I am speaking of localized conditions. OTOH, I've lived within a eight mile radius of the same spot for most of my 50+ years and the trend I've observed, if plotted graphically, would show an an average upward slope over the last thirty of those years. This summer may well be truly aberrant (man, I sure hope so!!!!), but the milder winters and warmer summers have been pretty consistent for some time. I do not pretend to know the reason(s) - or even the theories. But I honestly believe there are too many of these things happening - worldwide - for us to be particularly complacent that the current conditions are merely "a phase" in the world climate.
  • He DogHe Dog Member Posts: 51,593 ✭✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    .280 Freak: As I remember Erlich's book he said the problem will not be in food production but in distribution. Clearly he was to some degree correct, depending of course on how you define 'global.' There are serious food shortages and starvation in a number of places in the world, though certainly not in all countries or on all continents. You don't have to think about it very long to know that Erlich will eventually be correct. The problem is figuring out at what point the population and food balance exactly. Beyond that is catasrophy. Personally, I liked it a lot when the population of this country was about 180 million and the population of the world was under a billion.

    Iconoclast, It does seem pretty clear that we are in a warming trend, hell I am going antelope hunting next week and it is likely to be near 100! The real question is whether it is part of a cycle and will reverse at some point or if it is indeed human mediated and not likely to be reversed. If it keeps going, in a few thousand years most of Florida will be under the ocean, so it can't be all bad!

    A balanced diet is a cookie in each hand
  • IconoclastIconoclast Member Posts: 10,515 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    He Dog, I'd rather see Kalifornia and the urban centers of the East Coast from DC to Bahston under water - and next week, if you please. I agree, we don't know if the trend is short term or long term. But it is provoking to note that there are species moving into territories where there is no evidence they have survived before, at least in thousands of years. Like I said, this is one time I'd be very happy to be wrong!
  • cowdoccowdoc Member Posts: 5,847 ✭✭✭
    edited November -1
    well i see it this way ...where i live they can find dino bones here...(t rex) so dino's lived here long time ago then this area was covered with ice then that melted so stands to reason that we are on a warming trend again. but i have lived through the coldest winter on record and the warmest so who knows, we have only been keeping track of weather for a 100 yrs or so what is a mere millisecond for as long as the earth has been around.
    doc

    I dont give my guns without somebody getting hurt!
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